Keith vs Inverurie Loco Works analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
60.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
17º
15º
72
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
72 | 72 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 58 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 55 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 17 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 11 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NAI
2 - 0
KEI
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KEI
0 - 4
LOS
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
4 - 1
KEI
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
KEI
4 - 0
FOR
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 3
KEI
89%
8%
3%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
INV
4 - 0
LOS
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
INV
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
INV
4 - 1
FOR
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
3 - 0
INV
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
INV
4 - 0
TUR
54%
21%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |