Keith vs Huntly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
11º
17º
15º
48
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 72 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 58 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 55 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 17 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 11 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FRA
4 - 0
KEI
90%
8%
3%
|
25 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KEI
1 - 1
CAM
49%
20%
30%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KEI
0 - 3
INV
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NAI
2 - 0
KEI
73%
15%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KEI
0 - 4
LOS
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Huntly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HUN
2 - 1
LOS
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HUN
2 - 2
WIC
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 1
HUN
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
HUN
3 - 4
FOR
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 3
HUN
40%
22%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |