Keith vs Fort William analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 3
KEI
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
KEI
0 - 2
NAI
10%
15%
76%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CLA
3 - 4
KEI
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
KEI
1 - 2
FRA
10%
15%
76%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BRO
4 - 1
KEI
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 56 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Fort William
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 3
BUC
20%
19%
61%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 3
FOR
9%
14%
77%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LOS
2 - 1
FOR
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
DEV
25%
20%
55%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WIC
8 - 1
FOR
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |