Keith vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
78.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
KEI
1 - 4
INV
10%
17%
73%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 2
KEI
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
KEI
1 - 2
HUN
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BUC
1 - 2
KEI
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
KEI
2 - 1
ROT
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CLA
0 - 4
FOR
10%
17%
73%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
FOR
66%
18%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 0
WIC
61%
20%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DEV
0 - 5
FOR
16%
20%
65%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 1
NAI
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |