Keith vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
48.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
KEI
0 - 3
FRA
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
INV
3 - 2
KEI
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
KEI
2 - 1
FOR
91%
7%
3%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
KEI
2 - 1
WIC
17%
20%
64%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +4 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BUC
6 - 0
KEI
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 4
FOR
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
WIC
1 - 1
FOR
49%
22%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
NAI
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
FOR
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
HUN
0 - 3
FOR
26%
21%
53%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |