Keith vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
NAI
1 - 1
KEI
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
KEI
7 - 2
FOR
90%
8%
3%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
FOR
5 - 2
KEI
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
STR
0 - 4
KEI
5%
12%
83%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
KEI
6 - 1
CLA
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 2
BUC
17%
19%
64%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 3
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
STE
3 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
STE
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 4
TUR
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |