Keith vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
KEI
0 - 0
TUR
16%
21%
63%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
KEI
0 - 1
WIC
14%
19%
67%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
KEI
2 - 3
FOR
13%
18%
70%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
STR
1 - 4
KEI
7%
12%
81%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 6
KEI
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +5 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
FRA
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
TUR
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 2
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +3 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
LOS
71%
17%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ROT
0 - 5
FOR
4%
13%
82%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | +1 |