Keith vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 3
KEI
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BRO
9 - 0
KEI
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
KEI
1 - 8
NAI
13%
20%
67%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CLA
2 - 1
KEI
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
KEI
1 - 2
HUN
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
6 - 0
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
WIC
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 1
FOR
16%
20%
64%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 1
COV
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +4 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BRO
6 - 0
FOR
75%
15%
9%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |