Keith vs Formartine United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
69.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
STR
1 - 4
KEI
7%
12%
81%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 6
KEI
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +5 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
INV
2 - 4
KEI
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HUN
2 - 6
KEI
54%
22%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
NAI
1 - 2
KEI
85%
11%
5%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
6 - 1
FOR
89%
8%
3%
|
50 | 15 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
FOR
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
10 - 3
BUC
74%
16%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 8
FOR
6%
12%
82%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
5 - 1
LOS
85%
10%
4%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | -1 |