Keith vs Deveronvale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
KEI
0 - 4
INV
7%
14%
80%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
KEI
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
KEI
3 - 2
STR
86%
9%
4%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
KEI
1 - 5
HUN
36%
22%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KEI
1 - 5
INV
11%
15%
74%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -2 |
Matches
Deveronvale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 7
DEV
9%
14%
77%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
WIC
1 - 2
DEV
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
DEV
2 - 2
LOS
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
DEV
1 - 3
COV
9%
16%
75%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
DEV
0 - 5
CLA
37%
22%
42%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |