Keith vs Deveronvale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
68.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
KEI
1 - 3
NAI
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
KEI
1 - 0
LOS
47%
21%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 0
KEI
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
HUN
1 - 1
KEI
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 2
KEI
52%
20%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Deveronvale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
DEV
2 - 2
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
DEV
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HUN
2 - 3
DEV
20%
20%
61%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
DEV
0 - 6
COV
24%
23%
54%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
DEV
1 - 7
NAI
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |