Kehler FV vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kehler FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
KEH
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
KEH
2 - 0
KSC
17%
22%
62%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +3 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
KEH
0 - 1
NEC
25%
26%
49%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
STU
0 - 1
KEH
38%
26%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
KEH
0 - 0
REU
34%
25%
40%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 0
REU
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SPI
2 - 3
FRE
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
VFR
4 - 1
FRE
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FRE
0 - 0
GRU
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FRE
4 - 1
BIS
72%
17%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |