Kehler FV vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kehler FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 0
KEH
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
KEH
2 - 0
LIN
74%
17%
10%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
ILL
2 - 2
KEH
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
KIR
3 - 3
KEH
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
KEH
1 - 1
WAL
21%
25%
54%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 2
VIL
27%
26%
48%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
FRE
47%
25%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
FRE
3 - 0
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
NEC
5 - 1
FRE
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 3
NOT
20%
24%
56%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |