Kehlen vs Union Mertert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kehlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
KEH
1 - 2
ALI
13%
19%
68%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BET
3 - 6
KEH
45%
25%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
KEH
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
KEH
0 - 0
WIN
33%
24%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
JEU
2 - 1
KEH
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UME
0 - 4
ESC
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FCR
5 - 0
UME
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UME
2 - 0
MAM
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
UME
2 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ESC
3 - 1
UME
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |