Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 2-5
Keflavik vs Valletta FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
KEF
2 - 1
THO
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 0
KEF
31%
23%
46%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
GRI
1 - 1
KEF
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
KEF
3 - 2
THR
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
KEF
3 - 1
FJO
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valletta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 0
KEF
31%
23%
46%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 3
SLI
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
HIB
0 - 0
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 2
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -3 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FLO
0 - 2
VAL
17%
24%
59%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |