Keflavik vs Selfoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
STJ
1 - 4
KEF
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KEF
1 - 0
IBV
44%
22%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
KRR
2 - 0
KEF
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KEF
0 - 1
AFT
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 3
REY
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Selfoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
KRR
4 - 1
SEL
73%
16%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2025 |
SEL
0 - 6
STJ
16%
19%
65%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
SEL
5 - 5
LEI
43%
22%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SEL
2 - 2
AEG
75%
15%
9%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KFG
1 - 3
SEL
25%
22%
53%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |