Keflavik vs Fylkir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
6º
5º
29
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
16 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 1
KEF
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KEF
2 - 1
HKK
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
KAA
4 - 2
KEF
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
STJ
3 - 0
KEF
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 0
FRA
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fylkir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
HKK
2 - 2
FYL
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FYL
2 - 4
KAA
32%
25%
44%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FYL
2 - 2
IBV
52%
22%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FYL
1 - 1
KAA
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KRR
2 - 0
FYL
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |