Keflavik vs Fylkir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
12º
12º
21
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 1
STJ
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
FRA
4 - 1
KEF
49%
23%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 0
BRE
14%
21%
65%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
KEF
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
STJ
4 - 0
KEF
56%
21%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fylkir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
KAA
2 - 1
FYL
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
FYL
3 - 3
KRR
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FYL
2 - 1
IBV
52%
22%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
STJ
2 - 2
FYL
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
FYL
3 - 4
KRR
37%
23%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |