Keflavik vs Fjölnir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
THR
3 - 2
KEF
31%
23%
46%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
GRI
1 - 4
KEF
22%
22%
56%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
KEF
3 - 2
SEL
74%
17%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
NJA
3 - 1
KEF
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
KEF
0 - 0
REY
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fjölnir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
FJO
2 - 3
GRI
47%
22%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
LEI
0 - 1
FJO
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
FJO
0 - 5
THO
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
THR
1 - 4
FJO
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
HKK
3 - 0
FJO
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |