CAF Champions League Last 16
Global 2-3
Kedus St George vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kedus St George
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
AWK
2 - 1
KGI
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MIC
1 - 1
KGI
21%
26%
52%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
KGI
0 - 0
ENB
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
KGI
3 - 0
MIC
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AMK
0 - 1
KGI
41%
30%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TPM
2 - 0
SAI
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TPM
2 - 1
ETO
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
SAI
0 - 0
TPM
47%
29%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
TPM
5 - 0
LUB
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
TPM
3 - 0
GBA
63%
22%
16%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |