Kedus St George vs Ethiopia Bunna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
3º
1º
43
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kedus St George
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
LEG
0 - 4
KGI
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
BAH
0 - 0
KGI
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
KGI
3 - 0
WED
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
AWK
0 - 3
KGI
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
KGI
0 - 0
MAK
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia Bunna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
ADK
0 - 3
ETB
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
ETB
0 - 1
ETH
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ETB
0 - 1
HAD
49%
25%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
LEG
2 - 2
ETB
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
MEH
2 - 4
ETB
50%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |