Elewijt vs Herent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
7º
16º
9º
43
5º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elewijt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HUL
1 - 0
KCE
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
KCE
2 - 1
HOU
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MEL
0 - 0
KCE
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
KCE
1 - 0
VEL
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
EEN
5 - 1
KCE
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Herent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
FEN
28%
22%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BKU
2 - 0
HER
29%
22%
50%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HER
3 - 2
EEN
58%
20%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GRI
1 - 1
HER
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HER
2 - 3
WAM
49%
22%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |