Kawkab Marrakech vs USM Oujda analysis


58	ELO	61
3.7%	Tilt	-15.7%
662º	General ELO ranking	874º
3º	Country ELO ranking	7º
ELO win probability

35.2%

Kawkab Marrakech

28.1%

Draw

36.7%

USM Oujda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

35.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%

28.1%

Draw

0-0

9.7%

1-1

13.2%

2-2

4.5%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

28.1%

36.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+27%

-18%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

3º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

51

1º

4º

3º

49

2º

16º

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

4º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	58	58	1º	100%
2º	52	52	2º	70.5%
3º	51	51	3º	70.5%
4º	49	50	4º	27.5%
5º	49	49	5º	57%
6º	44	44	6º	100%
7º	40	40	7º	100%
8º	39	39	8º	100%
9º	36	36	9º	57%
10º	35	35	10º	57%
11º	35	35	11º	57%
13º	34	35	12º	27.5%
12º	34	34	13º	70.5%
14º	29	29	14º	100%
15º	27	27	15º	100%
16º	24	24	16º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	29.5%
Mid-table	100%	70.5%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kawkab Marrakech

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
28 May. 2022	CHA 4 - 1 KAW 46% 29% 26%	58	59	1	0
22 May. 2022	KAW 0 - 1 ASS 52% 25% 23%	58	56	2	0
15 May. 2022	JSM 0 - 2 KAW 58% 26% 16%	57	65	8	+1
07 May. 2022	KAW 0 - 1 ODC 30% 27% 43%	57	64	7	0
22 Apr. 2022	CBG 0 - 1 KAW 49% 28% 23%	56	60	4	+1

Matches

USM Oujda

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
18 Jun. 2023	ITT 0 - 0 USM 29% 29% 42%	63	57	6
10 Jun. 2023	USM 1 - 3 RKZ 28% 29% 43%	63	70	7
03 Jun. 2023	RAJ 2 - 2 USM 32% 30% 38%	63	59	4
27 May. 2023	USM 0 - 0 JSM 38% 29% 34%	63	63	0
20 May. 2023	WTE 0 - 0 USM 17% 27% 56%	63	51	12