Kawasaki Frontale vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kawasaki Frontale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 5
KAW
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KAW
1 - 1
KAA
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
KAW
0 - 1
AVI
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
KAW
0 - 0
YFM
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 4
KAW
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 1
VEG
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 1
KAR
33%
24%
42%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
SAG
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
YFM
2 - 1
SAG
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 1
VEN
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |