Kawasaki Frontale vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
7º
15º
8º
45
3º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kawasaki Frontale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SHO
0 - 2
KAW
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
JOH
0 - 1
KAW
21%
21%
58%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
KAW
1 - 0
FCT
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CER
3 - 0
KAW
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 2
KAW
22%
23%
55%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
3 - 1
YOK
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 1
ALB
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
URA
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 2
KAW
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KAA
2 - 0
ALB
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |