Kavala vs Nestos Chrisoupolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
5º
2º
40
5º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
65.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 4 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
AOK
3 - 1
DOX
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
AOK
15%
24%
61%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
APP
0 - 1
AOK
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PNM
1 - 0
AOK
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AOK
2 - 0
PAN
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nestos Chrisoupolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
NES
1 - 0
PNM
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 2
NES
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NES
2 - 1
OPX
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
BYK
1 - 1
NES
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NES
2 - 2
EAA
69%
18%
14%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |