Kavala vs Marko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AOK
2 - 0
TPF
36%
25%
38%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
AOC
2 - 0
AOK
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
AOK
1 - 4
AGR
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VER
2 - 0
AOK
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
AOK
0 - 0
THR
34%
28%
39%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Marko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
FCM
1 - 2
AOC
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
AGR
0 - 0
FCM
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
FCM
1 - 0
VER
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
THR
3 - 0
FCM
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
FCM
0 - 1
APL
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |