Kavala vs Diagoras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
3º
2º
19
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
21 | 17 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 16 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 14 |
3º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 11 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 11 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 10 |
7º
|
77% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 8 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ENK
0 - 2
AOK
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
AOK
1 - 0
PTF
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
NIK
1 - 1
AOK
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
AOK
0 - 0
DIA
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GIA
0 - 0
AOK
66%
21%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Diagoras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
DIA
0 - 1
PTF
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
NIK
2 - 1
DIA
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
DIA
1 - 0
ENK
59%
26%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
AOK
0 - 0
DIA
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
NIK
0 - 1
DIA
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |