Katwijk vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SPI
1 - 4
KAT
21%
21%
59%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
KAT
1 - 2
RIJ
77%
15%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
KAT
1 - 1
ASW
72%
16%
12%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
TER
0 - 1
KAT
14%
18%
68%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
KAT
1 - 1
QUI
64%
19%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 3
ZWA
21%
23%
56%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ZWA
1 - 4
SMI
71%
18%
12%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
XER
2 - 0
ZWA
35%
24%
40%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ZWA
1 - 0
ASW
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ZWA
1 - 3
SHO
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |