Katwijk vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
KOZ
4 - 0
KAT
39%
23%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
KAT
0 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
KAT
0 - 2
ALK
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
TIE
3 - 4
KAT
20%
21%
59%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
KAT
1 - 0
SPA
57%
21%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
SPA
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GVV
1 - 4
EXC
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
EXC
3 - 4
UNA
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
VVS
2 - 0
EXC
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
AFC
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |