Kataller Toyama vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KAT
2 - 2
REN
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ROA
0 - 0
KAT
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
KAT
0 - 1
VEG
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
KAT
4 - 2
JEF
33%
24%
43%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SAG
1 - 0
KAT
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
GAM
2 - 0
NAG
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SHO
2 - 1
NAG
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
NAG
2 - 0
YFM
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
NAG
2 - 1
YOK
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
TMF
0 - 3
NAG
12%
19%
69%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |