Kastrup vs Holbæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kastrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FA2
2 - 0
KAS
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
STE
3 - 2
KAS
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
KAS
2 - 0
TAA
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
KAR
2 - 2
KAS
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
KAS
4 - 3
LSF
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
HOL
2 - 1
KAR
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 0
ACH
8%
14%
77%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 2
FA2
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
LSF
2 - 3
HOL
32%
25%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 0
B73
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |