Kastrup vs B 1903 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kastrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
KAS
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
KAS
3 - 0
FRE
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
KAS
0 - 5
FRE
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
JAG
0 - 3
KAS
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
KAS
2 - 2
KFU
30%
22%
47%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
B 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FRE
0 - 1
B19
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
JAG
8 - 2
B19
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
B19
1 - 4
KFU
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VAN
2 - 0
B19
54%
23%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
B19
3 - 1
TAA
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |