Karpaty Lviv vs Zorya Luhansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
12º
6º
40
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karpaty Lviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
KOL
2 - 1
KPT
30%
29%
42%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
KPT
2 - 1
PFC
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
LIV
2 - 3
KPT
26%
27%
46%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
OBO
2 - 2
KPT
27%
28%
45%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
KPT
3 - 1
RYV
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
ZOR
0 - 1
POL
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
ZOR
0 - 0
SHA
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
LNZ
1 - 1
ZOR
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
INH
1 - 0
ZOR
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ZOR
2 - 1
LIV
63%
23%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |