Karpaty Lviv vs FSC Mariupol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
2º
2º
37
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 9 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 9 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karpaty Lviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
KPT
1 - 0
MYK
72%
18%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
KPT
2 - 1
POL
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
KPT
2 - 2
SHA
21%
21%
58%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
KPT
3 - 1
SST
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
KPT
2 - 1
NYV
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FSC Mariupol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FYM
1 - 1
PRY
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FED
1 - 1
FYM
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
FYM
2 - 0
FKC
64%
19%
17%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
FYM
3 - 0
POK
27%
23%
51%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FCZ
1 - 3
FYM
56%
21%
23%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |