Karmiel Safed vs Ahva Arraba FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karmiel Safed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
MTA
0 - 4
KAR
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
KAR
3 - 1
HDK
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
KAR
2 - 2
AAF
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
HKK
0 - 0
KAR
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
KAR
0 - 0
MMA
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ahva Arraba FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
AHV
0 - 3
MKK
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
IRO
4 - 3
AHV
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
MKA
2 - 1
AHV
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
AHV
2 - 1
HEH
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
AHV
0 - 3
HAG
27%
27%
47%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |