Karlsruher SC vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
5º
16º
5º
63
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
EBT
2 - 0
KSC
20%
22%
58%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
KSC
2 - 2
WEH
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HSV
3 - 4
KSC
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
KSC
2 - 1
OSN
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
KSC
3 - 1
FCN
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
F95
1 - 1
ELV
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAD
4 - 3
F95
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
STP
2 - 2
F95
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
F95
1 - 2
STP
39%
23%
38%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
F95
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |