DFB Pokal 1/32
Global 1-2
Karlsruher SC vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
KAI
1 - 0
KSC
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
KSC
2 - 1
FCV
93%
5%
2%
|
80 | 18 | 62 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
KSC
3 - 2
S04
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
FCN
5 - 0
KSC
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1980 |
KSC
3 - 0
F95
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1980 |
AAA
5 - 0
OSN
57%
22%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
WAT
3 - 0
AAA
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
AAA
2 - 1
HAN
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
RWL
1 - 3
AAA
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1980 |
AAA
2 - 0
BRE
48%
25%
28%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |