Karlskrona vs Sölvesborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
2º
2º
21
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 56 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 50 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 40 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 39 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 31 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 27 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
18% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
55% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlskrona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
0 - 4
KAR
27%
22%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
1 - 3
KRI
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
OST
1 - 1
KAR
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
4 - 1
TOR
36%
23%
42%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SOG
2 - 0
KAR
31%
22%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Sölvesborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
2 - 4
LIN
79%
12%
9%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FBK
4 - 3
SOG
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
KRI
2 - 0
SOG
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
4 - 2
IFK
60%
19%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SOG
2 - 0
KAR
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |