Karlskrona vs Simrishamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
5º
37
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlskrona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
KRI
1 - 1
KAR
53%
22%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
HAS
37%
23%
41%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
FBK
0 - 0
KAR
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
KAR
3 - 2
TRE
86%
9%
5%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 2
KAR
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BER
4 - 1
SIM
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
SIM
0 - 3
KRI
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HAS
2 - 0
SIM
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SIM
4 - 1
FBK
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 0
SIM
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |