Karlskrona vs Karlshamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
3º
2º
13
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 56 |
1º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 47 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 41 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 40 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 35 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 31 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 30 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 27 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 27 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlskrona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
HOG
1 - 1
KAR
27%
22%
52%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
IFK
2 - 4
KAR
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
KAR
4 - 0
FBK
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HOG
2 - 1
KAR
32%
22%
46%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 5
OST
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 1
FBK
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
VAX
2 - 0
IFK
12%
17%
71%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | -3 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
IFK
2 - 1
IFK
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 4
RAP
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 3
IFK
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |