Karlberg vs Sollentuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
15º
7º
17
9º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
IFS
0 - 5
KAL
36%
23%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FCA
0 - 1
KAL
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
KAL
0 - 0
STO
24%
24%
53%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
ASS
4 - 3
KAL
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
KAL
1 - 1
THO
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sollentuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ASS
0 - 0
SOL
48%
22%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
ASS
2 - 0
SOL
38%
22%
40%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SOL
3 - 2
IFS
44%
22%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
ORE
2 - 3
SOL
37%
24%
40%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
SOL
3 - 2
HAN
28%
24%
49%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |