Karlberg vs FC Järfälla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
8º
1º
50
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
83% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
KAL
11%
16%
73%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
KAL
4 - 0
KVA
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HUD
2 - 2
KAL
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 2
KUN
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SKI
2 - 3
KAL
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Järfälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCJ
4 - 0
IFK
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GUT
1 - 0
FCJ
21%
19%
60%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCJ
2 - 1
SAN
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OST
4 - 0
FCJ
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FCJ
2 - 3
FRA
77%
13%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |