Karcag SE vs Diósgyőr VTK II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+129%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
12º
7º
32
8º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
58% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
65% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
65% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 35% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 65% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karcag SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
SZO
38%
23%
40%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BEK
2 - 1
KAR
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 2
CSC
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 3
KTE
4%
10%
85%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 0
FUZ
58%
21%
22%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Diósgyőr VTK II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
DIO
2 - 1
TIS
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ZLI
1 - 1
DIO
93%
5%
2%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DIO
4 - 3
TIS
33%
23%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
DIO
2 - 2
CIG
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
DEB
2 - 2
DIO
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |