Kapellen-Erft vs SC Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
63.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
DUS
0 - 1
KAP
14%
17%
69%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 0
KAP
7%
10%
83%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
DUS
0 - 0
KAP
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
KAP
1 - 3
VFH
41%
21%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
DUS
2 - 1
KAP
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SC Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
SVW
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 2
VFB
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 0
WUL
84%
11%
6%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SVW
2 - 2
VEL
8%
14%
77%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
TEU
1 - 3
VEL
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |