Kamphaeng Phet vs Mae Chai Thanachotiwat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
47.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
11º
9º
38
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 33 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kamphaeng Phet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UTT
2 - 0
KAP
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
KAP
3 - 0
SKW
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PHI
6 - 1
KAP
85%
11%
4%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
KAP
3 - 2
KKU
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MAE
2 - 1
KAP
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mae Chai Thanachotiwat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MCT
1 - 1
WAT
35%
22%
42%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NMS
1 - 2
MCT
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MCT
4 - 2
CLA
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MCT
2 - 1
SKW
36%
23%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
MCT
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |