KamAZ vs Tobol Kurgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
4.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KamAZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
KAM
5 - 0
ZEN
76%
15%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
GAZ
1 - 5
KAM
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
NOS
2 - 0
KAM
36%
27%
38%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
KAM
2 - 0
NUF
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2003 |
KAM
5 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
ZEN
1 - 0
TOB
64%
21%
16%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
TOB
4 - 1
MMM
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
TOB
1 - 1
SST
15%
23%
61%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2003 |
LNN
2 - 0
TOB
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
DIN
0 - 0
TOB
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |