KamAZ vs Tobol Kurgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KamAZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
KAM
3 - 1
TYU
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2000 |
DYP
0 - 3
KAM
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2000 |
URL
0 - 3
KAM
32%
27%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2000 |
KAM
3 - 0
DIN
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2000 |
SPA
0 - 4
KAM
17%
23%
61%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2000 |
NEF
5 - 0
TOB
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2000 |
TOB
1 - 3
SST
19%
25%
57%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2000 |
TOB
1 - 3
GAZ
18%
23%
59%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
MIA
1 - 0
TOB
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2000 |
MMM
6 - 0
TOB
80%
13%
6%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |