Kalutara Park vs Army analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kalutara Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
NEG
2 - 0
KAL
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
KAL
1 - 3
SLP
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
KAL
3 - 0
THI
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
DBO
3 - 2
KAL
47%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SUP
1 - 1
KAL
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
REN
1 - 7
ARM
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ARM
1 - 3
SOL
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COL
2 - 2
ARM
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARM
1 - 1
SLP
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
THI
1 - 7
ARM
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |