UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 3-3
Kalmar FF vs Debreceni VSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kalmar FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
KAL
3 - 1
BRO
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
DVS
2 - 0
KAL
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
KAL
6 - 1
DJU
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2009 |
MFF
1 - 2
KAL
45%
25%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
KAL
2 - 0
HEL
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Debreceni VSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
BUD
0 - 1
DVS
27%
23%
50%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
DVS
2 - 0
KAL
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
DVS
2 - 0
PAK
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
DIO
2 - 3
DVS
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
DVS
2 - 2
MTK
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |